Six free, systematic frameworks for trading macro economic catalysts. Five strategy guides with classification rules, position sizing, worked examples, and execution checklists 鈥?plus an interactive backtest simulator. No fluff, no paid newsletter, no Discord upsell.
How to trade the ISM Manufacturing PMI release: read the triple, classify the scenario, map to concrete positions across SPY / US10Y / BTC / CRDO, and size by confidence. Includes a worked August 2026 example (55.6 / 54.2 / 71.1 鈫?GOLDILOCKS / 85%).
A ready-to-use Notion template with 4 linked databases, 13 pre-loaded macro catalysts, and 5 scenario frameworks. Why most traders fail without a journal, the 5 fields you must track, and a 3-minute setup guide. Duplicate in 30 seconds.
How to trade the highest-confidence macro regime: growth strong, inflation contained, Fed on hold. The classification rules, the full action set, position sizing by confidence, the three ways Goldilocks breaks, and a worked August 2026 example.
How to trade the risk-off macro regime: when ISM PMI falls below 50, go defensive 鈥?short equities, long duration bonds, sell crypto and commodities. The counterpart to Goldilocks, with classification rules, sizing, and a worked example.
How to trade the macro transition regime: when ISM PMI headline holds above 50 but new orders roll below 50, go cautious 鈥?reduce cyclicals, add duration, rotate defensive. The transition between risk-on and risk-off, with classification rules, sizing, and a worked example.
Backtest the macro scenario strategy against 12 months of historical ISM PMI data. An interactive portfolio simulator that shows how GOLDILOCKS, MODERATE, SOFT_LANDING, and CONTRACTION classifications translate into returns, drawdown, and outperformance vs buy & hold. Edit the data, run the backtest, see the equity curve.
Free TradingView Pine Script v5 indicator that classifies ISM PMI releases into 5 trading scenarios in real time. Color-coded table, bar labels, background tint, and 4 alerts. Copy-paste ready, zero dependencies. First-mover: no macro indicators exist on TradingView.
The six guides form a complete loop: classify 鈫?act 鈫?record 鈫?backtest. The ISM PMI strategy guide teaches you to classify a macro print into a scenario and map it to trades. The Goldilocks guide deep-dives the highest-confidence risk-on regime 鈥?the one you will size most aggressively to the long side. The Contraction guide is its risk-off counterpart 鈥?the highest-confidence defensive regime, where you size aggressively to the short side. The Soft Landing guide covers the transition regime between them 鈥?where growth decelerates without contracting and you rotate defensive rather than go short. The journal template guide shows you how to record every trade so that over 12 releases you can compute your edge by scenario. The backtest simulator closes the loop 鈥?it lets you test the entire strategy against historical data and measure whether the regime-following approach actually outperforms buy & hold. Read in any order; they cross-link to each other throughout.
All four are powered by the same engine 鈥?the Macro Scenario Analysis API 鈥?which classifies any ISM PMI triple into one of five scenarios with a confidence score. You can run the engine for free in the live demo, or call it programmatically via RapidAPI.
Every guide references the same five-scenario classification. Here is the map:
The Goldilocks guide covers the first pill in depth. The Contraction guide covers the fourth pill in depth 鈥?the defensive counterpart. The Soft Landing guide covers the third pill 鈥?the transition regime where you reduce risk and rotate defensive. The ISM PMI guide covers all five. The journal template guide shows you how to log which scenario each print produced and compute your win rate per scenario 鈥?the only metric that matters over a year of macro trading.
Notion journal + live API + Pine Script indicator + HTML dashboard + Python report generator + live demo client. Everything you need to classify, trade, and journal macro catalysts systematically. $14.99 one-time, zero subscriptions, 30-day refund.
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